Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.843544 0.966619 1.100517 1.256896 1.434405 1.629528 1.860171
2024-12-22 0.660764 0.827474 1.024426 1.273797 1.580651 1.945419 2.411470
2024-12-29 0.540604 0.734817 0.982311 1.319668 1.766295 2.335970 3.116298
2025-01-05 0.431977 0.634295 0.911099 1.315286 1.887910 2.667226 3.804971
2025-01-12 0.358795 0.566158 0.869208 1.340753 2.051677 3.078181 4.666080
2025-01-19 0.289581 0.489299 0.799979 1.313221 2.133427 3.384810 5.427282
2025-01-26 0.252729 0.454757 0.787532 1.368121 2.346294 3.914772 6.601275
2025-02-02 0.225601 0.430541 0.786592 1.440065 2.596080 4.536400 8.009836
2025-02-09 0.194836 0.393530 0.756866 1.456835 2.754009 5.027711 9.271432
2025-02-16 0.167595 0.357403 0.721879 1.457165 2.881080 5.481044 10.527836
2025-02-23 0.145616 0.327044 0.692000 1.461114 3.013658 5.959477 11.891641
2025-03-02 0.127332 0.300541 0.664787 1.464995 3.145179 6.451029 13.342809
2025-03-09 0.114024 0.282589 0.652826 1.499891 3.347882 7.114082 15.232813
2025-03-16 0.099292 0.258364 0.623210 1.492246 3.461311 7.615769 16.870881
2025-03-23 0.089588 0.244109 0.613284 1.526567 3.670573 8.342895 19.075404
2025-03-30 0.078048 0.222782 0.583067 1.508831 3.760494 8.828104 20.828182
2025-04-06 0.070214 0.209443 0.569730 1.529190 3.941702 9.537539 23.170225
2025-04-13 0.060692 0.189364 0.535741 1.492241 3.979597 9.927228 24.837164
2025-04-20 0.056552 0.183732 0.538440 1.550265 4.261645 10.922765 28.050432
2025-04-27 0.053554 0.180851 0.548086 1.628500 4.607254 12.114973 31.887508
2025-05-04 0.048624 0.170901 0.536158 1.645426 4.794317 12.941414 34.929074
2025-05-11 0.043700 0.159838 0.518966 1.644490 4.933004 13.663760 37.800301
2025-05-18 0.039492 0.150175 0.504167 1.648039 5.084859 14.439796 40.909067